Predicated
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Prediction markets
60 active markets
· category “Geopolitics”
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Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
25%
chance
Yes
No
$35.8M
Vol.
Dec 31
geopolitics
Potential payout
$25
→
$102
65 trading now
Next leader out of power before 2027?
Orbán - Hungary PM
99%
Netanyahu - Israel PM
1%
23 more
$7.81M
Vol.
Dec 31
geopolitics
Potential payout
$25
→
$26
54 trading now
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by...?
December 31
32%
July 31
15%
1 more
$14.5M
Vol.
Dec 31
geopolitics
Potential payout
$25
→
$78
66 trading now
Crude Oil all time high by...?
December 31
25%
September 30
16%
1 more
$920K
Vol.
Dec 31
geopolitics
Potential payout
$25
→
$102
58 trading now
Xi Jinping out by June 30?
1%
chance
Yes
No
$3.29M
Vol.
Jun 30
geopolitics
Potential payout
$25
→
$313
57 trading now
KRG declares independence from Iraq by December 31?
7%
chance
Yes
No
$77K
Vol.
Dec 31
geopolitics
Potential payout
$25
→
$313
51 trading now
Gustavo Petro out as leader of Colombia by...?
8%
chance
Yes
No
$323K
Vol.
Jun 30
geopolitics
Potential payout
$25
→
$26
58 trading now
Will the Iranian regime survive U.S. military strikes?
98%
chance
Yes
No
$1.04M
Vol.
Jun 30
geopolitics
Potential payout
$25
→
$26
50 trading now
Will China blockade Taiwan by June 30?
1%
chance
Yes
No
$1.74M
Vol.
Jun 30
geopolitics
Potential payout
$25
→
$313
53 trading now
US military action against Cuba by...?
December 31
38%
March 31
1%
1 more
$6.00M
Vol.
Dec 31
geopolitics
Potential payout
$25
→
$67
70 trading now
Xi Jinping out before 2027?
8%
chance
Yes
No
$10.1M
Vol.
Dec 31
geopolitics
Potential payout
$25
→
$313
55 trading now
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by...?
July 31
12%
June 30
5%
2 more
$2.36M
Vol.
Jun 30
geopolitics
Potential payout
$25
→
$217
65 trading now
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