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Prediction markets

18 active markets · category “Science”

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Who will win the 2026 Fields Medal?

Who will win the 2026 Fields Medal?

Hong Wang
Hong Wang99%
Yu Deng
Yu Deng99%9 more
$879KVol. Jul 30science
Precipitation in Hong Kong in July?

Precipitation in Hong Kong in July?

600mm+97%
575-600mm2%8 more
$36KVol. Jul 31science
How many 5.5 or above earthquakes July 20 - July 26?

How many 5.5 or above earthquakes July 20 - July 26?

≤8
1%YesNo
9
52%YesNo
$26KVol. Jul 26science
How many 5.5 or above earthquakes July 27 - August 2?

How many 5.5 or above earthquakes July 27 - August 2?

≤6
24%YesNo
7
14%YesNo
NEW $5.5KVol. Aug 2science
July 2026 Temperature Increase (ºC)

July 2026 Temperature Increase (ºC)

1.20–1.24ºC90%
1.25–1.29ºC9%4 more
$46KVol. Aug 1science
Precipitation in London in July?

Precipitation in London in July?

<30mm
<30mm97%
70-80mm
70-80mm2%5 more
$9.8KVol. Jul 31science
How many 6.5 or above earthquakes July 20 - July 26?

How many 6.5 or above earthquakes July 20 - July 26?

0
93%YesNo
1
8%YesNo
$7.7KVol. Jul 26science
Precipitation in Seattle in July?

Precipitation in Seattle in July?

<0.5"
<0.5"86%
1-1.5"
1-1.5"7%5 more
$3.7KVol. Jul 31science
Screwworm National Emergency declared by...?

Screwworm National Emergency declared by...?

December 31
December 3154%
August 30
August 3048%2 more
$1.4KVol. Jan 1science
2026 July 1st, 2nd, 3rd hottest on record?

2026 July 1st, 2nd, 3rd hottest on record?

1st hottest
1st hottest93%
2nd hottest
2nd hottest3%2 more
$113KVol. Jul 31science
Major volcano eruption (VEI ≥6) in 2026?

Major volcano eruption (VEI ≥6) in 2026?

5%

chance

YesNo
$122KVol. Mar 31science
Precipitation in NYC in July?

Precipitation in NYC in July?

4-5"
4-5"41%
5-6"
5-6"41%4 more
$33KVol. Jul 31science